[8.30 Sports Lottery] Dong Mo today Saturday 6 strings 1 football match preview analysis!

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Today's event

[040 La Liga 08-31 03:30 Real Madrid VS Mallorca]

Real Madrid played well in the first two rounds of the new season, defeating Osasuna 1-0 in the first round, and swept Oviedo 3-0 away from home in the second round, showing dominance on both ends of the offense and defense; Mallorca is struggling, suppressed by Barcelona 0-3 in the first round, and tied Celta 1-1 in the second round, and only scored 1 point in the first two rounds, and the pressure of relegation has been lingering since the beginning of the season. In terms of historical confrontation, Real Madrid has won 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Mallorca in the last 5 times, especially at the Bernabeu. They have won 43 games in the past 66 matches, and their home advantage has always been outstanding - but Mallorca also has an upset resume. He defeated Real Madrid 1-0 at home in February 2023, and also tied 1-1 at home in the opening game of the league in August last year, which can give the team some psychological support.

Injuries and lineup, Bellingham, Kamavenga and Enderick are all absent due to injuries, and midfield creativity and forward rotation are affected; left-back Ferran Mendy's hamstring injury is expected to recover only on October 1, and only substitute left-back Carreras can be used at this stage, and his defensive stability is doubtful. Mallorca is even more difficult: midfielder Samuel Costa is absent due to injury, and the offensive organization is directly cut off; main striker Muric is suspended from red card, so he can only send Japanese shooter Takuma Asano to the forward line, which greatly reduces the offensive threat. At the institutional handicap level, the initial handicap was half/two goals, and then adjusted to one/half. It seems that the expectations of "big victory" against Real Madrid have converged, but the odds of the main win have always been at the low of 1.18-1.20. The trading data of Betfair shows that the main win transaction accounted for as high as 85%, and funds are obviously full of funds that are optimistic about Real Madrid's winning.

Fighting intention, Real Madrid has a clear need to compete for the championship, and they have to grab points in every game; Mallorca is likely to play the iron barrel formation and defend the road away, but when the midfield lacks the core and the front line has no main force, it is difficult to fight back. Overall, although Real Madrid has hidden dangers of injury in the midfield and left, Mbappe and Vinicius are in good shape on the front line, and Mallorca's defensive loopholes (especially the right substitute fullback Gioff is easily targeted) are also more obvious. However, the institutional handicap has dropped from "half of the ball" to "one ball / half of the ball", so we must also guard against the possibility of Real Madrid "winning but losing". Final recommendation: I am optimistic about Real Madrid's home victory.

Comprehensive Recommendation: Win

Score Reference: 2-0, 3-0, 3-1

Goals: 2-4