[7.24 Sports Lottery] Dong Mo today Thursday 4 strings 1 football match preview!

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Today's event

[003 Europa 01:30 Solev vs Braga]

First, deal with the context of this Europa qualifying match - Solev is at home against the Portuguese Super League powerhouse Braga, first breaking down the fundamentals:

Fighting spirit level: Solev has been runner-up last season, and won 5-0 in the league this season. He has only lost 1 in the last three years at home. The "meat grinder" attributes of the home court are full, so he must want to take advantage of the home advantage to gain the lead in the first round of the qualifying match; Braga and Portuguese Super League have been in the top four for many years and have rich experience in European competitions. Although he has played away, he has just finished the Portuguese Super League Cup in the league. His morale and desire to win are there, and he will never want to fail in the first round of the qualifying match.

Injuries and status: Solev's midfielder Mitkov was absent from a muscle contusion, and the offense and defense conversion hub was damaged; Braga's right-back Gomez and midfielder Amaral were injured, and the width defense and midfield thickness declined, but the forward line "Banza + Horta + Jalo" combination made 35 goals last season, and was in a hot state and just won the warm-up match, so the offensive threat is still there. It is worth noting that Braga has just experienced the Portuguese Super League final, and the main players consume a lot of physical energy, so there may be hidden dangers when they are away games.

Institutional trends: Initial dealers gave 0.75 low water, then rose to 1 goal, and the goal index increased from 2.75 to 3.0 - The upward shift reflects Braga's recognition of strength, but the number of goals increased, implying that the market has doubts about "Braga's break through the defense line." Combined with tactics: Solev's 5 defender defense system is mature, and set balls are killer moves; Braga focuses on 4-2-3-1 rib penetration, but has "high-altitude defense weakness", which just gives Solev a chance to counterattack.

Comprehensive analysis: Braga's net worth of 130 million euros is nearly 5 times that of Solev (28 million). The players' personal ability, tactical complexity, and European experience are all advantageous. Even if they are physically tight away from home and lack people on the wing, as long as the midfield controls the rhythm, the forward trident still has the ability to tear the defense line; Solev has sufficient toughness at home and sharp defense, but the absence of the midfield core leads to a decrease in offense and defense conversion efficiency. In the face of the technical pressure of the Portuguese Super League team, the loopholes in the middle may be magnified. In the first leg of the Europa qualifiers, Braga is more eager to use "away victory" to leave room for the second leg. Although Solev can create threats with his home momentum, the gap in hard strength is difficult to make up. Braga is optimistic about the away win.