Thursday 004 Tottenham vs. Brother Shining! There are not more than two at home, so Brother Shining is not a joke in the next round!

1. Comparison of the status and lineup between the two sides

Tottenham Hotspur (Premier League)

1. Significant home advantage: the Europa League has remained unbeaten at home (7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss), and the last 3 games have been cleaned up, with a home winning rate of up to 75%.

2. Strong fighting spirit: ranks 16th in the Premier League, there is no hope of fighting in the league, and strives to compete for the Europa League championship to qualify for the Champions League.

3. Key Player:

- Solank: assumes the role of offensive fulcrum and contributes 20 goals + 10 assists this season.

- Madison: The center of the midfield organization, but the serious injury to the hamstring is suspected.

- Injury risks: Son Heung-min and Dragusin are absent, weakening their ability to break through the wing.

Bodd Shine (North Super League)

1. European Dark Horse: Eliminate Lazio to advance to the semi-finals, won 6 in the last 8 European games, and morale is high.

2. Counterattack threats: relying on the high-altitude top-square goal (7 goals in the European Union) and the speed of winger Haiyuge.

3. Injury impact: Central defender Bjortuft suffered a groin injury, captain Berg and three others were suspended, and the defense line was incomplete.

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2. Tactical game and key points

1. Tottenham's tactical center of gravity:

- Ball control and suppression: Through the dispatch of midfielders Bentancur and Madison, the wingbacks shine in Bode's three-center-back system.

- Settings ball offense and defense: Tottenham's set-piece score rate is 18%, and Romero's header advantage may be against Bord's shining center back; but Tottenham's set-piece defense is at the bottom of the Premier League, so we need to be wary of the opponent's high-altitude bombing.

2. Bode Shining's response strategy:

- Quick conversion: Give up ball possession (45% of the ball possession per game in the European game), and use Hoch to pull back to fight back in series.

- Settings Tactics: 30% of the goals come from set pieces, and the success rate of Hoch's high-altitude top-square-top is 52.4%, which may become the key to breaking the situation.

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3. Data and institutional forecasts

- Winning probability: Tottenham's winning rate is 45%, draw is 32%, and Bord's shining winning rate is 23%.

- Macau handicap: Tottenham initially gave 1.75 goals, then rose to 1.5 goals to win the water. Some institutions tried to get the threshold for one goal, showing that the market's confidence in the home team increased.

- Score tendency: Mainstream predictions Spurs won 2-0, 3-1 (probability 55%), and the probability of an unpopular draw is 30%.

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4. Winning and Loss Hands and Deep Analysis

1. The key to the victory and loss of Tottenham Hotspur:

- Break the first half: If you score through the wing (Sorank + Madison) or score on a set piece in the first 30 minutes, you will likely lock in the victory.

- Defensive line stability: Romero's three central defenders need to limit Hoch's aerial threat to avoid losing points due to set pieces.

2. Bode's shining upset opportunity:

- Counterattack efficiency: The speed of Haygo and Mata may hit the back of Tottenham fullback, especially when Madison is absent, the interception of the midfield decreases.

- Psychological toughness: It is the first time that you can enter the semi-finals of the Europa League. If you withstand the high pressure for 30 minutes, you may create an upset.

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5. Comprehensive prediction

- Winning and losing direction: Tottenham has obvious home advantage and stronger fighting spirit, and a high probability of winning the home, but it is necessary to defend against a draw.

- Recommended scores: 2-0, 3-1 (Spurs win) or 1-1 (draw).

- Number of goals: 2-3 goals in total, tending toward the direction of the big ball.

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6. Risk warning

- If Tottenham fails to defeat for a long time, they may be impatient and stolen by Bode's counterattack.

-Bodd Shine has poor away defense data (1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 European games), but it may be upset in extreme cases.

Recommendation Tottenham let one goal win

Age reference 20 31

The picture is from the Internet