Saturday 005 Ruichao>Brumapo vs Halms >Sirius vs Hegen 021 Portuguese>Benfica VS Lisbon>Casapia vs Braga

Fundamental Analysis: Relegation Pressure and State Ups and downs

Brumab: The home game is sluggish, and the away game is a key

Brumab currently ranks 7th in the Swiss Premier League with 10 points, and there is no pressure to relegate. The team has shown the characteristics of "weak home and strong home" this season: only 3 wins (3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses); and the away unbeaten rate is close to 80%, and recently defeated Gothenburg 4-2 away, showing away resilience. The forward core Vasic ranked second in the scorer list with 9 goals, but his home offensive efficiency was insufficient, and he only scored 7 goals in 7 home games, far lower than the average of 1.8 goals per game in the away game.

Halms: The away defense collapsed, the lineup restructuring potential

Halms also ranked 13th with 7 points, and the relegation situation is worrying. The team performed amazingly at the beginning of the season (2 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in the first 7 rounds), and averaged up to 3 goals per game during the period. Last round, he defeated Vanamámá 1-0 at home to stop the decline, but midfielder Swadebery (cumulative yellow card suspension) and top scorer Mohamed (season reimbursement) were absent. He relied on the offensive end to the Icelandic striker Ingasson's performance, and his overall firepower was limited.

Injury and tactical game

Brumab's injury: Goalkeeper Johnson and midfielder Magnusson were absent due to injuries, and new goalkeeper Murrozek conceded 3 goals in his first debut in the last round, and his condition is doubtful. The coach may continue his 4-3-3 formation and rely on the wing breakthrough to win points with Vasic in the middle.

Halms was injured: midfielder Swadebery was suspended and Alansong was injured. After the defense line was reorganized, the success rate of high-altitude defense dropped to 58%. The coach may adopt a defensive counterattack strategy, but lacks the core of the midfield organization, so the efficiency of counterattack may be discounted.

Tactical key points: Brumab needs to take advantage of his home court advantage and create threats through crosses from the wing, Vasic's high point fight is the key to breaking the deadlock; Halms needs to shrink his defense and rely on Ingasson's speed and set-piece opportunities to seek counterattack. In the first leg of the two teams, Brumab won 2-0 away, with both possession and positive shots.

Historical confrontations and data support

Past performance crush: In the last 6 confrontations, Brumab has remained unbeaten with 5 wins and 1 draw, of which he has won all his last 3 home games, with significant psychological advantages.

Index tendency: Institutional initial handicap 1 goal, then adjusted to 0.75 goals to draw water. The support for the home team has slightly decreased, but overall it is still inclined to Brumab. Combining Halms' away defense data (per-game conceded 2.38 goals per game) and Brumab's home goal efficiency (1 goal per game), the data implies that the home team will win or draw.

Results prediction

Although Brumab's record at home is poor, his historical confrontation and fighting intentions are dominant, and Halms's midfield core absence weakens his offense and defense conversion ability; Halms' away defense loopholes are obvious, but under the pressure of relegation, he may shrink his defense line and defend to the death. If Brumab can improve the efficiency of the front line, it is expected to break the home curse; if Halms seizes the opportunity to counterattack, they may tie the opponent.

Recommended: Brumab's small victory or draw (main victory + draw)

Score reference: 2-1, 1-1

Saturday 016 Ruichao Sirius VS Hegen

Fundamental analysis: Relegation dilemma vs Mid-level impact

Sirius: The home game is sluggish, the relegation situation is severe

Sirius This season, Ruichao only achieved 1 win, 3 draws and 3 losses in the first 7 rounds of this season, ranking 14th in the league with 6 points (3rd from the bottom), only 1 point away from the safety zone, and the pressure to relegate is huge. The team's condition has continued to be sluggish recently, with 3 draws and 3 losses in the last 6 rounds of the league, and there are obvious loopholes on the defensive end, conceded 1.71 goals per game, conceded 5 consecutive games in the main game. His home performance was even worse. He drew 1 draw and lost 2 in three leagues, scoring only 1 goal. He relied on the offensive end of the game with 21-year-old Leo Volta (3 goals), but his condition was difficult to support the team's firepower. Head coach Daniel Baxtron has limited experience and the 4-3-3 formation emphasizes breakthroughs on the flank, but the midfield control is weak and the turnover rate is high when facing high-pressure pressing.

Hergen: The away game is superior, and the qualification to attack the European game

Hergen currently ranks 8th in the league with 10 points, and there is still a possibility of attacking the European war zone. The team's condition has recovered recently. It defeated Beikkopin 2-0 away in the last round, ending its previous two rounds of unwinding, and its away performance is particularly outstanding - it has 4 wins and 2 losses in its last 6 away games, with a winning rate of 67%, and its offensive efficiency is stable (1.57 goals per game). Forward Rayuni (3 goals and 3 assists) and midfielder Leoni (3 assists) are core offensive points, but there are hidden dangers in the defense line. Main defender Bryce Wynbangermore (hamstring injury) and goalkeeper Andreas Lind (unknown injury) are absent, and the pressure on defensive rotation increases.

Injury and Tactical Game

Sirius Injury: There are no new injuries yet, all players can play, but the defense line is not stable enough, and the success rate of the central defender team to compete for the top at high altitude is only 58%.

Hurgen injury: defender Bryce Wynnagemore (hamstring injury), goalkeeper Andreas Lind (unknown injury) is absent, the defense line may be activated to partner with the young player central defender, and there are risks in high-altitude defense.

Tactical key points: Sirius needs to use their home momentum to create threats through Volta's breakthrough and cross from the flank; Hegen may continue the 4-2-3-1 formation, relying on midfield control and rapid counterattack, and aim at the home team's defensive line to turn the speed short. In the historical confrontation, Hegen has won 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 10 matches, and has an advantage in psychology, but he has a surprise loss 0-2 away in the first leg of this season. We need to be wary of the revenge mentality.

Historical confrontations and data support

Past suppression: In the last 10 confrontations, Hegen has 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, a away winning rate of 60%, and has won all away games in the last 3 away games.

Index tendency: Institutional initial dealers get 0.25 goals to get water, and then rise to 0.5 goals to get water, and support for Hegen is enhanced. Combined with Sirius' weak home offense (0.33 goals per game) and Hegen's away firepower (1.57 goals per game), the data tends to be unbeaten by the away team.

Result prediction

Sirius has a strong desire to relegate, but he is at a disadvantage on both ends of offense and defense; Hegen's lineup depth and away efficiency are better, but there are hidden dangers in the rotation of defense line. If Hegen can continue to counterattack efficiency and limit Volta's performance, he is expected to score all three-pointers away; if Sirius shrinks his defense and uses set pieces to create an upset, or tie the opponent.

Recommended: Hegen is unbeaten (away victory + draw)

Score reference: 0-1, 1-1

Statement: The above analysis is based on the injury information and tactical reports released by Ruichao's official website, club official announcements and authoritative data platforms. Please refer to the actual game.

Saturday 021 Portuguese Super League> Benfica vs Lisbon

Fundamental analysis: The championship situation and recent status

Benfica: The away game is still in the mood for revenge, and the mentality of revenge is strong

Benfica currently ranks second in the Portuguese Super League with 78 points (as of May 2025), currently ranked Sporting Lisbon at the top, and the winner will directly affect the title of the championship. The team has been in a stable state recently, with 7 wins and 1 draw unbeaten in the last 8 games, and its away record is particularly impressive (9 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, the best in the league). However, the 0-5 defeat to Porto in the last round of the away game exposed the loopholes in the defense, and the stability of the central defender combination became a hidden danger. The offensive end relies on veteran Di Maria (14 goals and 7 assists) and Rafa Silva's wing breakthrough, but Di Maria is absent due to injury, which may affect creativity. Head coach Schmidt emphasized high-level pressing and fast counterattack, with high tactical execution efficiency, but we need to be vigilant about physical fitness allocation issues.

Sports Lisbon: Unbeaten at home, the wave of injuries has become a hidden danger

Sports Lisbon leads the standings with 78 points, and his home record is terrifying - 13 wins and 3 losses, winning all the last 17 home games, scoring 46 goals and conceding only 10 goals, and he is very dominant on both ends of offense and defense. The forward core Jikles (22 goals) is in a very hot state, but the quality of defense has declined recently and has conceded goals in the last three games. Midfielder Gonsalves (2 goals and 2 assists) and Braganca (4 goals and 4 assists) are absent due to injuries, and their midfield interception and organizational capabilities are damaged, and they may be forced to use young players. Coach Amorin focuses on high-pressure pressing and wing attacks with a 4-3-3 formation, but his physical fitness is facing a test under the intensive schedule.

Injury and Tactical Game

Benfica's injury (official announcement): Di Maria (thigh strain) and defender Grimaldo (cumulative yellow card suspension) are absent, but the main players in the middle and front court are intact, and the Felix brothers may be used to fill the gap on the wing.

Sports Lisbon injury (club statement): Midfielders Gonsalves, Braganca, and Hidemasa Morita (ligament injury) are absent, the pressure on the defensive line rotation increases, and the wing may rely on Duku's breakthrough ability.

Tactical key points:

Benfica needs to target the midfield vacancy of Sporting Lisbon through Rafa Silva's cross from the wing and Joao Neves' midfield dispatch; Sporting Lisbon needs to use the fulcrum of Jikles and the wingback's impact to suppress the opponent's defense line. The two teams met in the first leg and Benfica narrowly won 2-1 at home, but Sporting Lisbon eliminated his opponent 4-3 in the Portuguese semi-finals, with a subtle psychological advantage.

Historical confrontations and data support

The performance is stalemate: in the last 10 matches, Sporting Lisbon has a slightly advantage in 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, but Benfica has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 4 away matches, and the away resilience cannot be underestimated.

Index tendency: Institutions draw in the initial hand-hand deal, and then adjusted to Sporting Lisbon to give 0.25 goals high, and recognized his intention to compete for the championship, but Benfica's home advantage is hedging with his recent state, and the data suggests that the outcome is unpredictable.

Results prediction

Benfica plays at home and is full of fighting spirit, but the hidden dangers on the defense line and the core injury are variable; Sporting Lisbon has strong offensive firepower, but midfield injuries weaken control. If Benfica can use his home momentum and counterattack efficiency, he is expected to succeed in revenge; if Sporting Lisbon limits his opponent's cross from the wing and grasps Jikles' finishing ability, or grab points away.

Recommended: a draw or a small victory in Benfica (main victory + draw)

Score reference: 1-1, 2-1

Saturday 029 Portuguese Super League> Casapia vs Braga

Fundamental analysis: Relegation is not a concern vs European sprint

Casapia: hovering in the middle, home performance declined

Casapia ranked 8th with 42 points after 32 rounds of the Portuguese Super League this season. She has no worries about relegation but has no hope of qualification for European competition, and she is in doubt about fighting. The team has been in a sluggish state recently, with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last five league rounds and has not won, and has only scored 4 goals on the offensive end, making its efficiency worrying. What's worse is that the home advantage has disappeared. Three home games have been lost in the last four leagues, and the number of goals conceded on the defensive end has been as high as 8 goals, and the defense is not stable enough. Although 35-year-old veteran Cassiano leads the team's scorer list with 11 goals, his age and physical fitness may limit his continued output.

Braga: He is fierce away and is rushing to European seats

Braga currently ranks fourth with 65 points, and still has the possibility of competing for the Champions League qualification. The team has been in a hot state recently, with 5 wins and 3 draws in the last 8 rounds of the league, and their away performance is particularly strong - in the last 10 Portuguese Super League, 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss away, with an unbeaten rate of up to 90%, and averaging 1.7 goals per game. The forward core Ricardo Holta (11 goals) and midfielder Endur (6 goals and 4 assists) form an offensive dual core, which cooperates with the fast counterattack tactics, which is extremely threatening. In addition, Braga scored away goals this season (28 goals) far more than home games (25 goals), and can be called "away dragon".

Injury and tactical game

Casapia's injury: There are no new injuries reported yet, but the main striker Gigi Silva and Mendes have been injured for a long time, and the offensive end depends on veteran Cassiano's single-point breakthrough, and the depth of forward rotation is insufficient.

Braga's injury: The main midfielder Banza (cumulative yellow card suspension) is absent, which may affect the midfield interception hardness, but the core lineup on the offensive end is complete, and coach Carlos Carvajal can continue the 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing breakthroughs on the wing and rapid conversions.

Tactical key points:

Casapia needs to limit Braga's wide impact through dense defense, and use Clayton's set-piece to compete for the top to create a threat; Braga may target the weakness of slow turning of the home team's defense line, and use Holta's long shot and Endur's insertion to tear the gap. The two teams faced each other in the first leg and won 4-3 at home, with a 54% advantage in the ball possession rate, but the defensive loopholes were obvious..

Historical confrontations and data support

Past suppression: In the last 7 matches, Braga has the advantage of 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, and has remained unbeaten in the last 3 away matches, 2 wins and 1 draw.

Index tendency: Institutional initial dealers get 0.75 goals to get water, and then rise to 1 goal to get water, which strengthens support for Braga. Combined with Casapia's data of losing 1.28 goals per game at home and Braga's away firepower (1.7 goals per game), the data tends to be small wins for the away team.

Results prediction

Casapia is not in a good spirit and is at a disadvantage on both ends of offense and defense. Braga is in a stable away game and has efficient offense. If Braga can continue the counterattack rhythm and seize the opportunity of set-pieces, he is expected to score three points; if Casapia shrinks his defense and defends his life, it may be a temporary stalemate but it will be difficult to stop the defeat.

Recommended: Braga's away win

Score reference: 0-1, 0-2

Statement: The above analysis is based on the official website of the Portuguese Super League, the official announcement of the club and the authoritative data platform information. Please refer to the actual game. It is recommended to follow the official channels to obtain real-time updates.