OPTA predicts the final match of the Premier League: Manchester City 96.9% enter the Champions League, Blues 57.4%& Newcastle 82.7%

May 22nd News There is still the last round left in the Premier League season in the 24-25 season, and the results of the championship, runner-up and relegation have been determined. Five teams will fight for three Champions League places in the last round, and OPTA predicted this.

Manchester City (away match against Fulham): The probability of qualifying for the Champions League is 96.9%

Manchester City only needs to score 1 point in this game to lock in the top five, and if it wins, it will lock in the top three. The only situation that allows Manchester City to score 1 point but miss the Champions League is that Villa won at least 17 goals against Manchester United. The Red Devils have been very bad this season, but not so bad.

Newcastle (main match Everton): The probability of qualifying for the Champions League is 82.7%

The first trophy of the Magpies in 70 years - the League Cup has secured them a European spot, but it may not be their favorite one. As long as you win in this game, Newcastle can secure the top five, unless Villa plays the above-mentioned outrageous victory.

If Newcastle only scores 1 point, the situation will be complicated. They need Villa to miss Manchester United away, or Chelsea tied with the Forest, because any winning side in this game may surpass Newcastle. If Newcastle loses to the Toffees, they need Villa to lose at Old Trafford, because no matter what the outcome of another game, Newcastle will definitely fall behind the Blues or the Forest.

Chelsea (away match against Forest): The probability of qualifying for the Champions League is 57.4%

This is undoubtedly a bayonet fight. If the Blues win, they will lock in the top five. The exception is Villa defeating Manchester United with an exaggerated score.

If the draw is made, Chelsea will need to rely on the results of other games to ensure entry to the Champions League, such as Villa will not win or Newcastle will lose. If Chelsea loses, they will almost certainly miss the Champions League, unless Newcastle loses by a gap of more than three goals, the Blues will have a glimmer of hope.

If you end up in seventh place, Chelsea will return to the UEFA United Nations unless they defeat Betis in the UEFA United final and go straight to the UEFA Cup. If this happens, the joint position of the European Association will be postponed to the eighth place.

Villa (away match between Manchester United): The probability of qualifying for the Champions League is 42.6%

In any previous season, it would be extremely difficult for Villa to score 1 point in the Dream Theater, but now Manchester United is only ranked 16th in the Premier League and has not won for 8 consecutive rounds, not to mention that the Red Devils have just spent almost all their energy in the Europa League final.

Villa is the same as Newcastle and Chelsea, but due to their goal difference, they are temporarily ranked 6th. Therefore, Villa had to score points at Old Trafford.

If Newcastle or the Blues lose points, or Manchester City loses, Villa will be enough to beat Manchester United. If the tie is tied, Villa will need Newcastle to lose to Everton, because no matter the outcome of Forest's game against Chelsea, Villa will not be able to surpass these two teams.

Forest (main match against Chelsea): The probability of qualifying for the Champions League is 20.4%

In fact, the situation in the Forest is relatively clear, and they must win - but even so, it may not be able to ensure the Champions League qualification. As for the draw, it would only make sense if Villa lost and Newcastle lost to Everton at least 10 goals, which is impossible.

However, if Villa loses, a draw can ensure Forest gets a ticket to the UEFA Cup. If Forests defeated the Blues, they would need at least one team from Newcastle or Villa to lose at least, or Manchester City was outrageously defeated at Fulham, so Villa could only offset the disadvantage of 13 goals.

The probability of Manchester City finally winning 3-7th place: 78.3%, 9.5%, 9.1%, 3.1%, 0

The probability of Newcastle finally winning 3-7th place: 16.4%, 53.5%, 12.8%, 17.2%, 0

The probability of the Blues finally winning 3-7th place: 3.2%, 18.4%, 35.8%, 18.8%, 23.8%

The probability of Villa finally winning 3-7th place: 2%, 13.5%, 27.1%, 42.9%, 14.5%

The probability of the Forest finally winning 3-7th place: 0, 5.1%, 15.3%, 18%, 61.7%