Nice vs. Benfica: When the home game meets the Portuguese super strongman, 1-2 may be a away win script?

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03:00 on August 7, Nice will play against Benfica at home in the first leg of the third round of the Champions League qualifiers. The following is an analysis of the score, number of goals and draws in this game:

Winning, Draw and Loss Analysis: Nice has a certain advantage at home, both sides have scored goals in the last 9 European games, and ranked fourth in Ligue 1 last season, with a relatively stable defensive system. However, many main players of the team were injured, and there were hidden dangers in reorganization of the defense line. They have not won in the last 6 home games at the European Games, and the probability of winning is about 30%. Benfica is a traditional strong team in the Portuguese Super League, with rich experience in European competitions, and has scored all goals in the last 20 official games. The front line is stable. Although there are injured people on the back line, the overall strength cannot be underestimated, and the probability of away win is about 45%. The probability of a draw is about 25%.

Number of goals: Nice has been in 4 big goals in the last 5 games, Benfica has scored 20 consecutive goals, both teams have performed well on the offensive end, and Nice has strong firepower at home, Benfica is also good at attacking, so the probability of both sides scoring goals in this game is relatively high, exceeding 70%. The total number of goals may be 2 or 3 goals, with a relatively high probability.

Score analysis: Considering Nice's home advantage and defensive characteristics, as well as Benfica's strength and experience, the score may be 1-1, 0-1 or 1-2. Among them, the probability of a 1-1 draw is about 25%, the probability of Benfica's 1-0 win is about 20%, and the probability of a 2-1 victory is about 18%.